A Possible Quantitative Use of Mean Circulation Concepts in Daily Forecasting
نویسنده
چکیده
The question of t,he operation of large-scale controls in day-to-day weather map evolutions is discussed. To explore the usefulness of these concepts in daily forecasting, the problem of forecasting the passage of summertime r-Id fronts at Kansas City is used. More-or-less standard techniques are used to develop an objective method of forecasting these frontal passages, and its deficiencies are discussed. A technique employing certain aspects of the 5-day mean 700-mb. chart as a means of eliminating these deficiencies is investigated. Results suggest that i t is possible to use certain features of a prognostic 5-day mean 700-mb. chart to improve on the results of an objective
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